Supreme Court of the United States
Kalshi and prediction markets at the Supreme Court
The short answer
Three petitions ask the U.S. Supreme Court to decide whether federal commodities law overrides state gambling law for sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated exchanges. The Court has not agreed to hear any of them.
Kalshi's own case is one of them: New Jersey asked the Court on Sept. 2, 2026 to review the Third Circuit's April 6, 2026 ruling for Kalshi (Flaherty v. KalshiEX, LLC, No. 26-299). Next: Kalshi's brief in opposition is due Dec. 7, 2026.
The other two come from Robinhood and Crypto.com, which lost to Nevada in the Ninth Circuit.
From the Supreme Court's dockets, checked Nov. 7, 2026. A summary of public filings, not legal advice.
- Petitions pending
- 3
- Next deadline
- Nov. 13, 2026Responses due
Cite this page
Bluebook
Kalshi and prediction markets at the Supreme Court, Prediction Market Laws (last updated Nov. 7, 2026), https://predictionmarketlaws.com/supreme-court.
APA
Prediction Market Laws. (2026, November 7). Kalshi and prediction markets at the Supreme Court. https://predictionmarketlaws.com/supreme-court
The question all the petitions ask
Whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling or sports-wagering law as applied to event contracts listed on a CFTC-designated contract market.
The petitions
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi
Flaherty v. KalshiEX, LLC
- Petition filedSept. 2, 2026
- ResponseDue Dec. 7, 2026
- Conference
- Court decides whether to hear it
- Asks the Court to review
- Kalshi v. New Jersey (Third Circuit), decided April 6, 2026 (2-1), for the platform
- Filed by
- New Jersey. Counsel of record: Solicitor General Jeremy M. Feigenbaum.
- Question presented
- Whether the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act preempted States from regulating sports bets that occur within their jurisdictions if those bets are offered on markets registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
- Status
- Petition pending; Kalshi's brief in opposition is now due Dec. 7, 2026 after a second clerk's extension (granted Oct. 30). Eleven amicus briefs were filed from Sept. 22, 2026 through Oct. 8, 2026. The petition has not been distributed for conference.
Our summary of the petitionRead the petition (PDF)Supreme Court docket
Next: Kalshi's brief in opposition is due Dec. 7, 2026 26 days
No. 26-338
Robinhood v. Nevada
Robinhood Derivatives, LLC v. Dreitzer
- Petition filedSept. 10, 2026
- ResponseDue Nov. 13, 2026
- Conference
- Court decides whether to hear it
- Asks the Court to review
- Robinhood v. Nevada (Ninth Circuit), decided Aug. 28, 2026, for the state
- Filed by
- Robinhood Derivatives, LLC. Counsel of record: Lisa S. Blatt, Williams & Connolly LLP.
- Question presented
- Whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts the application of state gaming laws to sports-related event contracts traded on federally regulated contract markets.
- Status
- Petition pending; the response deadline was extended on Oct. 9, 2026 from Oct. 14, 2026 to Nov. 13, 2026 for all respondents. Not yet distributed for conference.
Our summary of the petitionRead the petition (PDF)Supreme Court docket
Next: Responses due Nov. 13, 2026 2 days
No. 26-344
Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada
North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. v. Nevada
- Petition filedSept. 11, 2026
- ResponseDue Nov. 16, 2026
- Conference
- Court decides whether to hear it
- Asks the Court to review
- Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada (Ninth Circuit), decided Aug. 28, 2026, for the state
- Filed by
- North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc., doing business as Crypto.com Derivatives North America. Counsel of record: Shay Dvoretzky, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP.
- Question presented
- Whether the CEA preempts state regulation of sports-event contracts traded on a DCM.
- Status
- Petition pending; the response deadline was extended on Oct. 8, 2026 from Oct. 15, 2026 to Nov. 16, 2026 for all respondents, and on Nov. 6, 2026 the Nevada respondents asked for more time. Not yet distributed for conference.
Our summary of the petitionRead the petition (PDF)Supreme Court docket
Next: Responses due Nov. 16, 2026 5 days
Why the Court may take it up
The Supreme Court chooses its cases. One reason its rules give for granting review is that federal appeals courts have reached conflicting decisions on the same important question (Rule 10(a)). Three federal appeals courts have ruled on the question: the Third Circuit for the platforms, the Ninth Circuit and the Sixth Circuit for the states.
Third Circuit · April 6, 2026 · 2-1
For the platforms
Kalshi v. New Jersey (Third Circuit). Affirmed the preliminary injunction barring New Jersey from enforcing its gambling laws against Kalshi's sports contracts, finding Kalshi likely to win on federal preemption.
Ninth Circuit · Aug. 28, 2026
For the states
Kalshi v. Nevada (Ninth Circuit). Ruled for Nevada in the consolidated Kalshi, Robinhood and Crypto.com (NADEX) appeals, affirming in part and remanding in part in Kalshi's case.
Sixth Circuit · Sept. 25, 2026
For the states
Kalshi v. Ohio (Sixth Circuit). In a published opinion covering Ohio and Tennessee, affirmed the denial of Kalshi's preliminary injunction against Ohio and vacated the injunction Kalshi had won against Tennessee.
How a petition moves
- Response. The other side may file a brief in opposition within 30 days after the case is docketed, and the Clerk or a Justice can extend that deadline (Rule 15.3). The response deadline in all three petitions has been extended at least once.
- Distribution. Once a brief in opposition is filed, the Clerk sends the petition to the Justices no sooner than 14 days later, unless the petitioner waives that wait. The petitioner may file a reply, but the Court does not wait for it (Rules 15.5 and 15.6).
- Conference. The Justices meet privately and vote on petitions for review (The Court and Its Procedures). The docket then shows whether review was granted or denied.
- If review is granted. The case is briefed on the merits and argued before the Court decides it. The Court's Term begins on the first Monday in October, and its sessions usually continue until late June or early July.
Timeline
No. 26-344
Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada: The Nevada respondents ask for a further extension of the response deadline; no ruling on the request was shown on the docket as of Nov. 7, 2026.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: The Court granted Kalshi's unopposed request and extended its response deadline from Nov. 9 to Dec. 7, 2026.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-338
Robinhood v. Nevada: Clerk grants Robinhood-side motion (filed Oct. 8, 2026) and extends the response deadline from Oct. 14, 2026 to Nov. 13, 2026 for all respondents.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Amicus briefs filed by the NFL, the American Gaming Association, 145 tribes, the Casino Association of New Jersey, former Sen. Christopher Dodd and former CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-344
Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada: Clerk grants the respondents' Oct. 7, 2026 motion and extends the response deadline from Oct. 15, 2026 to Nov. 16, 2026 for all respondents.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Amicus briefs filed by Ohio with 38 states and D.C., and by Stop Predatory Gambling and others.
Source: supremecourt.gov
Sixth Circuit
Kalshi v. Ohio (Sixth Circuit): In a published opinion covering Ohio and Tennessee, affirmed the denial of Kalshi's preliminary injunction against Ohio and vacated the injunction Kalshi had won against Tennessee.
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Clerk grants Kalshi's Sept. 18, 2026 motion and extends its response deadline from Oct. 8, 2026 to Nov. 9, 2026; first amicus brief filed (National Council of Legislators from Gaming States).
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-344
Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada: Petition for certiorari filed.
No. 26-338
Robinhood v. Nevada: Petition for certiorari filed.
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Petition for certiorari filed.
Ninth Circuit
Kalshi v. Nevada (Ninth Circuit): Ruled for Nevada in the consolidated Kalshi, Robinhood and Crypto.com (NADEX) appeals, affirming in part and remanding in part in Kalshi's case.
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Justice Alito grants a second extension (requested July 22, 2026) to Sept. 3, 2026.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: Justice Alito extends the deadline to Aug. 4, 2026.
Source: supremecourt.gov
No. 26-299
New Jersey v. Kalshi: New Jersey applies (No. 25A1465) to extend the filing deadline.
Source: supremecourt.gov
Third Circuit
Kalshi v. New Jersey (Third Circuit): Affirmed the preliminary injunction barring New Jersey from enforcing its gambling laws against Kalshi's sports contracts, finding Kalshi likely to win on federal preemption.
Source: storage.courtlistener.comOur summary of the document
The documents
The petitions and the appeals-court opinions that split on the question, each read in full and summarized.
- Supreme Court petitionNew Jersey's Supreme Court petition in Flaherty v. KalshiEXPending; Kalshi's response due Dec. 7, 2026
- Supreme Court petitionRobinhood's Supreme Court petition in Robinhood v. DreitzerPending
- Supreme Court petitionCrypto.com's Supreme Court petition in North American Derivatives Exchange v. NevadaPending
- Court opinionThird Circuit opinion in Kalshi v. New JerseyInjunction affirmed, 2–1
- Court opinionNinth Circuit opinion in Kalshi v. NevadaAffirmed in part, sent back in part
- Court opinionSixth Circuit opinion in Kalshi's Ohio and Tennessee appealsOhio affirmed; Tennessee injunction vacated
Questions people ask
- Is Kalshi's case going to the Supreme Court?
- Not yet. The Supreme Court has been asked to hear it but has not agreed to. New Jersey filed a petition on Sept. 2, 2026 asking the Court to review the Third Circuit's April 6, 2026 ruling for Kalshi (Flaherty v. KalshiEX, LLC, No. 26-299). Next on the docket: Kalshi's brief in opposition is due Dec. 7, 2026.
- What is the Supreme Court being asked to decide?
- All the petitions ask the same question: whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling or sports-wagering law as applied to event contracts listed on a CFTC-designated contract market.
- Why might the Supreme Court take the case?
- The Court's rules list a conflict between federal appeals courts on an important question as one reason it may grant review (Supreme Court Rule 10(a)). Three federal appeals courts have ruled on the question: the Third Circuit for the platforms, the Ninth Circuit and the Sixth Circuit for the states.
- When will the Supreme Court decide?
- It has not yet decided whether to hear any of the petitions. Under Rule 15.5, once a brief in opposition is filed the Clerk sends the petition to the Justices no sooner than 14 days later, unless the petitioner waives that wait, and the Justices vote on petitions at private conferences. If the Court agrees to hear a case, it is briefed and argued before a decision. The Court's Term begins on the first Monday in October, and its sessions usually continue until late June or early July. The next deadline on these dockets is Nov. 13, 2026.
- Which states and companies are involved?
- New Jersey v. Kalshi (No. 26-299, Flaherty v. KalshiEX, LLC): filed by New Jersey against Kalshi. Robinhood v. Nevada (No. 26-338, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC v. Dreitzer): filed by Robinhood against Nevada. Crypto.com (NADEX) v. Nevada (No. 26-344, North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. v. Nevada): filed by Crypto.com against Nevada.
Sources
- Supreme Court docket No. 26-299
- Supreme Court docket No. 26-338
- Supreme Court docket No. 26-344
- Supreme Court Rule 10 (considerations governing review on certiorari)
- Supreme Court Rule 15 (briefs in opposition; reply briefs)
- Supreme Court of the United States: The Court and Its Procedures
Follow every case on the lawsuit tracker, every pending ruling on the open questions page, and federal rules on the federal page.