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Checked Oct. 21, 2026

MN · Checked Oct. 21, 2026

Prediction market law in Minnesota

In litigation

Minnesota's 2026 law making prediction markets a felony is preliminarily enjoined as to CFTC-registered exchanges while challenges from the CFTC, Kalshi and Polymarket continue.

Minnesota enacted a felony ban on operating, facilitating or advertising prediction markets on sports, elections, pop culture and similar events, codified at Minn. Stat. § 609.7615 and effective Aug. 1, 2026. Gov. Tim Walz signed SF 4760 (ch. 97) on May 18, 2026, and the version in force comes from SF 3432 (ch. 118), approved May 26, 2026, which also repealed the parallel SF 4760 provisions. The United States and the CFTC sued on May 19, 2026, and Kalshi and Polymarket US filed their own federal suits. On July 27, 2026 Judge Katherine Menendez preliminarily enjoined enforcement against CFTC-registered exchanges, finding the law likely preempted in many respects, while warning that final relief could be narrower.

Timeline of state actions

  1. Other development, Kalshi

    Minnesota's attorney general signed an Ohio-led amicus brief, joined by 38 other states and DC, asking the U.S. Supreme Court to grant New Jersey's petition in Flaherty v. KalshiEX (No. 26-299).

    Source: Ohio et al. amicus brief, U.S. Supreme Court No. 26-299

  2. Court order

    Judge Katherine Menendez preliminarily enjoined enforcement of the ban against CFTC-registered exchanges in challenges brought by the United States, Kalshi and Polymarket US, finding it likely preempted in many respects but noting final relief could be narrower.

    Source: Legal Sports Report

  3. Operator lawsuit, Kalshi

    Kalshi sued Attorney General Keith Ellison, Gov. Walz and the state gambling enforcement director in the District of Minnesota, raising Supremacy Clause and First Amendment claims.

    Source: The Block

  4. Legislation

    The governor approved SF 3432 (ch. 118). Its Article 6 creates Minn. Stat. § 609.7615, making it a felony to operate, facilitate or advertise prediction markets on sports, elections, pop culture, deaths and other listed events, effective Aug. 1, 2026, and repeals the SF 4760 version.

    Source: Minnesota Session Laws 2026, ch. 118

  5. Other development

    The United States and the CFTC sued Minnesota in federal court to stop the law from taking effect, arguing federal law gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction.

    Source: Stateline / Minnesota Reformer

  6. Legislation

    The governor signed SF 4760 (ch. 97), an omnibus public-safety bill that included a prediction market ban; those provisions were later repealed and replaced by SF 3432.

    Source: DeFi Rate

Resolved questions

  1. Will a federal court block Minnesota's prediction market ban from taking effect against the exchanges that sued?

    Judge Menendez preliminarily enjoined enforcement of the ban against the exchanges that sued, days before its Aug. 1 effective date, in the federal, Kalshi and Polymarket US cases. D. Minn. No. 0:26-cv-02661. Source: Legal Sports Report

    Yes

Laws and bills

  • SF 3432 (2026 Minn. Laws ch. 118, art. 6)EnactedMay 26, 2026

    Prediction markets offense (Minn. Stat. § 609.7615)

    Makes creating, operating or facilitating a prediction market, and advertising one, a felony; covers sports, elections, legal actions, deaths, pop culture and other listed events; lets the state gambling director issue cease-and-desist orders; effective Aug. 1, 2026. Enforcement against CFTC-registered exchanges is preliminarily enjoined.

    Source: revisor.mn.gov

  • SF 4760 (2026 Minn. Laws ch. 97, art. 8)EnactedMay 18, 2026

    Omnibus public safety policy bill (earlier prediction market provisions)

    Contained the first enacted version of the ban; its article 8, sections 1 to 3 were repealed by SF 3432 (ch. 118).

    Source: revisor.mn.gov

Court cases

  • KalshiEX LLC v. EllisonU.S. District Court for the District of Minnesota, 0:26-cv-02778Injunction granted
  • QCX LLC v. EllisonU.S. District Court for the District of Minnesota, 0:26-cv-02841Injunction granted
  • United States v. State of MinnesotaU.S. District Court for the District of Minnesota, 0:26-cv-02661Injunction granted
  • KalshiEX LLC v. Ellison et al. (exact caption not confirmed)U.S. District Court, D. Minn.
  • Polymarket v. Minnesota officials (caption not confirmed)U.S. District Court, D. Minn.

Sources

  1. DeFi Rate
  2. Stateline / Minnesota Reformer
  3. Minnesota Session Laws 2026, ch. 118
  4. The Block
  5. Legal Sports Report
  6. Ohio et al. amicus brief, U.S. Supreme Court No. 26-299
  7. SF 4760 (2026 Minn. Laws ch. 97, art. 8)
  8. Sports betting status