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Checked Oct. 21, 2026

Operator v. state

KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler

U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, 26-3196

Decided

Denial of preliminary injunction affirmed in a published opinion on Sept. 25, 2026. Kalshi petitioned for rehearing en banc on Oct. 9, 2026; the petition is pending.

The question

Whether Kalshi's sports-event contracts are swaps under the CEA and, if so, whether the CEA's exclusive-jurisdiction clause preempts Ohio's sports-gaming law.

Deciding the Ohio and Tennessee appeals together, a panel of Judges Clay, Gibbons and Bloomekatz (opinion by Judge Gibbons) held the contracts are not swaps because the sporting events lack an inherent financial consequence, and that even if they were, the CEA neither expressly nor impliedly preempts the states' gambling laws. The court also held Kalshi may sue under Ex parte Young. The ruling aligns with the Ninth Circuit and conflicts with the Third.

Open question

Resolved

  1. Will a Sixth Circuit panel side with Kalshi against Ohio and Tennessee?

    The panel affirmed the denial of Kalshi's injunction in Ohio and vacated Kalshi's injunction in Tennessee and remanded. Kalshi has asked for rehearing. Sixth Circuit Nos. 26-3196 and 26-5235. Source: Opinion

    No

Docket timeline

  1. Kalshi petitions for rehearing en banc in the joint Ohio/Tennessee appeals.

    Source: nextpredict.io

  2. Panel affirms the denial of a preliminary injunction.

    Source: law.justia.com

  3. Oral argument before Judges Clay, Gibbons and Bloomekatz.

    Source: dockets.justia.com

  4. Court consolidates Nos. 26-3196 and 26-5235 (and drops the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council as a party in 26-5235).

    Source: dockets.justia.com

  5. CFTC announces an amicus brief in the Sixth Circuit supporting exclusive federal jurisdiction.

    Source: cftc.gov

  6. Appeal docketed.

    Source: dockets.justia.com

Sources

  1. Justia: KalshiEX v. Schuler, No. 26-3196 (6th Cir. 2026-09-25)
  2. Sixth Circuit opinion 26a0272p-06 (PDF)
  3. SBC Americas: Tennessee, Ohio win at Sixth Circuit (2026-09-25)
  4. Freshfields blog on the Sixth Circuit ruling
  5. Sheppard Mullin blog on the Sixth Circuit ruling
  6. VitalLaw: Sixth Circuit rules Ohio, Tennessee may apply gambling laws to Kalshi
  7. CFTC release 9230-26: CFTC amicus brief in the Sixth Circuit (2026-05-12)
  8. DeFi Rate prediction market lawsuit tracker (updated 2026-10-20)
  9. Vultax prediction market lawsuit tracker (updated 2026-10-19)
  10. Justia Dockets search listing: party KalshiEX (p. 4)
  11. DeFi Rate: Kalshi asks full Sixth Circuit to review panel decision
  12. Justia docket: KalshiEX v. Orgel, 6th Cir. 26-5235
  13. Kalshi petition for rehearing en banc (Oct. 9, 2026)